Saturday, May 29, 2004

She didn't say much, but she said it loud

What I'm seeing in this poll, which includes the good news that there were fewer Red Tories in the old PC Party than everyone thought, is that the Liberals have a weak core support base. I mean, I knew that already; voting Liberal at the federal level has for the past several elections been the refuge of the politically uninterested, those (outside of Quebec) that figured the NDP too far left, (Reform|Alliance) too far right, and the PCs completely impotent. Being a centrist party that stands for nothing in particular (beyond nest-feathering, Multiculturalism Is Good, Canada Is Nice and We're Not Americans) has a lot to recommend it when compliant domestic media are so willing to sell the above spin on your opponents. That that support is slipping away as the other parties gain strength is informative, however. It shows that there are fewer genuine believers in the Liberal platform than electoral results would indicate. In fact, I'd be willing to bet that fervent believers in a coherent Liberal campaign platform will be miniscule in number, which isn't to say they might not still win at least a minority at this point. The Liberal base is being pared down to its real immutable core - ethnic communities brainwashed into believing that only the Liberal Party is truly Canadian, and hoping for patronage from their friendly neighbourhood influence-peddler. With that kind of weakened base, Stephen LeDrew's going to have to hope for something other than the usual political ignoramuses to scratch out a victory this time. (Via Damian Penny.)

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